Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 83 & below)

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Line Horse
Arbitration
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Elegant Noble        3    55.5    1    0.00     1.5   69    63           63    -6
2    Arbitration          2    60.0    2    2.00     0.0   78    78           78    +0
3    Lady Springfield     3    61.5    3    3.25     1.5   86    77           77    -9
4    Hiawatha Goldberg    2    52.5    4    3.55     0.0   60    61           61    +1
5    Gold Index           3    51.0    5    8.05     1.5   55    54           54    -1
6    Water Dragon         2    58.5    6    8.80     0.0   70    72           72    +2
7    My Bestie            7    61.5    7    10.55    0.0   76    78           78    +2
8    Hampstead Heath      4    61.5    8    11.55    0.5   82    77           77    -5
99   King's Quest         3    64.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     80           80    +0
99   Summer Night City    5    46.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     47           47    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Elegant Noble 69 70 63 +7 1.5 -
2 Arbitration Line 78 78 78 ✓ Match 0.0
3 Lady Springfield 86 81 77 +4 1.5 -
4 Hiawatha Goldberg 60 57 61 -4 0.0 -
5 Gold Index 55 53 54 -1 1.5 -
6 Water Dragon 70 70 72 -2 0.0 -
7 My Bestie 76 61 78 -17 0.0 -
8 Hampstead Heath 82 75 77 -2 0.5 -
99 King's Quest - 89 80 +9 1.5 -
99 Summer Night City - 57 47 +10 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points