Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 19 JULY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Last Ginger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Phil The Fluter 2 62.0 1 0.00 0.0 78 75 78 +0 2 Apache Chief 4 59.5 2 0.20 0.5 71 69 69 -2 3 Can't Catch Me 5 52.0 3 2.50 0.0 52 57 57 +5 4 Last Ginger 4 58.5 4 2.75 0.5 69 69 69 +0 5 Callaburn 2 52.0 5 4.50 0.0 54 55 55 +1 6 Libeccio 5 53.5 6 6.00 0.0 67 58 58 -9 7 Like A Prayer 3 57.0 7 9.50 1.0 68 63 63 -5 8 Commander Of All 2 54.5 8 9.75 0.0 61 60 60 -1 9 Bregardt 4 52.5 9 22.00 0.5 52 55 55 +3 10 Circus Lights 5 56.0 10 99.99 0.0 64 63 63 -1 99 In The Ether 6 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Twice As Wild 6 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil The Fluter | 78 | 83 | 78 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Apache Chief | 71 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Can't Catch Me | 52 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Last Ginger Line | 69 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 0.5 | ||
| 5 | Callaburn | 54 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Libeccio | 67 | 62 | 58 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Like A Prayer | 68 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Commander Of All | 61 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bregardt | 52 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Circus Lights | 64 | 64 | 63 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | In The Ether | - | 63 | 70 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Twice As Wild | - | 51 | 55 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points