Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: www.hollywoodbets.net D STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 69 & below)
Line Horse
True Horizon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Why Not Jackie 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 63 67 67 +4 2 Tambourine Man 5 61.5 2 0.50 0.0 64 72 72 +8 3 True Horizon 4 56.0 3 3.25 2.0 57 57 57 +0 4 Black Path 6 53.0 4 4.50 0.0 51 55 55 +4 5 Wylie Jack 6 60.0 5 4.80 0.0 61 69 69 +8 6 Lovers Lane 2 58.5 6 5.10 0.5 56 65 65 +9 7 Gravity 4 56.0 7 6.35 2.0 60 57 57 -3 8 Royal Lytham 4 59.0 8 8.85 2.0 63 63 63 +0 9 Timeline 3 54.0 9 11.60 1.5 65 54 55 -10 10 Champagne Mac 4 60.0 10 99.99 2.0 62 65 65 +3 99 Palace Gift 3 64.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Why Not Jackie | 63 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tambourine Man | 64 | 64 | 72 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | True Horizon Line | 57 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Black Path | 51 | 58 | 55 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Wylie Jack | 61 | 61 | 69 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lovers Lane | 56 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Gravity | 60 | 63 | 57 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Royal Lytham | 63 | 69 | 63 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Timeline | 65 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Champagne Mac | 62 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Palace Gift | - | 77 | 74 | +3 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points