Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: CERISE CHERRY MERIT RATED 88 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
The Octagon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Solartrip 3 53.0 1 0.00 1.5 77 68 77 +0 2 The Octagon 2 58.0 2 2.00 0.0 84 84 84 +0 3 Power Ranger 7 54.5 3 8.00 0.0 77 74 74 -3 4 Ultimate Jewel 5 60.0 4 9.00 0.0 88 85 85 -3 5 Empire Blue 4 58.0 5 10.50 0.5 84 80 80 -4 6 Aerial Display 5 57.5 6 15.50 0.0 83 80 80 -3 99 Raining Again 6 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 99 Captive Moon 6 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Solartrip | 77 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | The Octagon Line | 84 | 76 | 84 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Power Ranger | 77 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ultimate Jewel | 88 | 80 | 85 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Empire Blue | 84 | 71 | 80 | -9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Aerial Display | 83 | 68 | 80 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Raining Again | - | 73 | 80 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Captive Moon | - | 75 | 83 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points