Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: LONDON NEWS - STRYDOM'S 1996 DURBAN JULY TRIUMPH MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Faithful Neo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Espinoza             3    57.0    1    0.00     1.5   87    79           87    +0
2    Twentytwentyvision   2    58.5    2    1.60     0.5   80    84           84    +4
3    Palace Revolt        2    57.5    3    1.85     0.5   79    82           82    +3
4    Faithful Neo         3    55.0    4    2.60     1.5   75    75           75    +0
5    Nazare               3    54.0    5    4.20     1.5   72    73           73    +1
6    Nkandla Gold         4    55.0    6    6.40     2.0   74    74           74    +0
7    Biofarmer            4    59.0    7    6.50     2.0   82    82           82    +0
8    Tiger Storm          3    58.5    8    6.80     1.5   82    82           82    +0
9    What A Tiger         5    58.5    9    12.50    0.0   81    85           85    +4
10   Dontshootthebarman   5    63.5    10   13.25    0.0   91    95           95    +4
11   Esquevelle           3    62.5    11   13.55    1.5   89    90           90    +1
12   John Wick            2    57.5    12   17.05    0.5   82    82           82    +0
99   Rafa Bay             2    59.5    99   0.00     0.5   -     86           86    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Espinoza 87 97 87 +10 1.5 -
2 Twentytwentyvision 80 80 84 -4 0.5 -
3 Palace Revolt 79 64 82 -18 0.5 -
4 Faithful Neo Line 75 80 75 +5 1.5
5 Nazare 72 70 73 -3 1.5 -
6 Nkandla Gold 74 63 74 -11 2.0 -
7 Biofarmer 82 78 82 -4 2.0 -
8 Tiger Storm 82 69 82 -13 1.5 -
9 What A Tiger 81 71 85 -14 0.0 -
10 Dontshootthebarman 91 93 95 -2 0.0 -
11 Esquevelle 89 86 90 -4 1.5 -
12 John Wick 82 82 82 ✓ Match 0.5 -
99 Rafa Bay - 96 86 +10 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points