Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: MICHEL NAIRAC APPRECIATION STAKES DARLEY ARABIAN (Listed) (Open)
Line Horse
Winter Games
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
9 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 I Salute You 3 55.5 1 0.00 1.0 103 97 97 -6 2 Winter Games 4 54.0 2 1.40 0.5 98 98 98 +0 3 Hat's Pride 2 52.0 3 1.70 0.0 91 95 95 +4 4 Money Heist 2 57.0 4 1.90 0.0 104 105 105 +1 5 Sundance Kid 5 52.0 5 3.00 0.0 91 94 94 +3 6 Guy Gibson 2 55.5 6 3.80 0.0 101 100 100 -1 7 Narina Trogon 5 58.0 7 4.50 0.0 106 104 104 -2 8 The Africa House 4 52.0 8 4.80 0.5 90 91 91 +1 9 Teflon Man 4 57.0 9 6.00 0.5 104 101 101 -3 10 Cherry Ano 5 59.5 10 7.10 0.0 109 107 107 -2 11 Imilenzeyokududuma 6 62.0 11 7.15 0.0 114 112 112 -2 12 Busstopinhounslow 3 58.5 12 7.85 1.0 109 103 103 -6 13 Diani 5 56.5 13 9.35 0.0 103 101 101 -2 14 Down To Business 2 56.0 14 10.15 0.0 101 100 100 -1 99 Ikigai 8 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 92 92 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I Salute You | 103 | 112 | 97 | +15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winter Games Line | 98 | 103 | 98 | +5 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Hat's Pride | 91 | 97 | 95 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Money Heist | 104 | 106 | 105 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sundance Kid | 91 | 96 | 94 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Guy Gibson | 101 | 99 | 100 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Narina Trogon | 106 | 102 | 104 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Africa House | 90 | 93 | 91 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Teflon Man | 104 | 106 | 101 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Cherry Ano | 109 | 108 | 107 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Imilenzeyokududuma | 114 | 109 | 112 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Busstopinhounslow | 109 | 110 | 103 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 13 | Diani | 103 | 96 | 101 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Down To Business | 101 | 100 | 100 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ikigai | - | 91 | 92 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points