Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 69 & below)
Line Horse
Mela Strength
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Saint Brigid 3 59.0 1 0.00 1.0 64 54 54 -10 2 Midway 3 61.5 2 0.10 1.0 63 59 59 -4 3 Mela Strength 3 61.5 3 1.60 1.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Prince Of Tibet 4 61.5 4 5.10 0.5 62 60 60 -2 5 Tres Chic 4 59.0 5 5.30 0.5 62 55 55 -7 6 Ozark 4 64.0 6 7.05 0.5 65 65 65 +0 7 Gold Index 3 57.0 7 7.10 1.0 54 50 50 -4 99 State Capitol 4 56.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 49 49 +0 99 Hiawatha Goldberg 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 55 55 +0 99 Miss Mackie 3 53.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 43 43 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Brigid | 64 | 80 | 54 | +26 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Midway | 63 | 65 | 59 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mela Strength Line | 62 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Prince Of Tibet | 62 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Tres Chic | 62 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Ozark | 65 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Gold Index | 54 | 53 | 50 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | State Capitol | - | 55 | 49 | +6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Hiawatha Goldberg | - | 57 | 55 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Miss Mackie | - | 49 | 43 | +6 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points