Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: STRIKER'S SEVEN WINS IN A DAY, TWICE IN HIS CAREER MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Libeccio
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 After Hours 7 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 69 65 69 +0 2 Libeccio 5 56.0 2 1.00 0.0 64 64 64 +0 3 Sail The Sky 4 58.0 3 2.10 0.5 68 66 66 -2 4 Palace Prince 2 56.5 4 2.60 0.0 84 63 74 -10 5 Commander Of All 2 53.0 5 3.00 0.0 58 56 56 -2 6 Good To Great 3 55.0 6 6.75 1.0 62 56 56 -6 7 Across The Bow 3 53.5 7 10.50 1.0 59 53 53 -6 99 Fostinovo 3 61.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 69 69 +0 99 Crescendo 3 62.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | After Hours | 69 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Libeccio Line | 64 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Sail The Sky | 68 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Palace Prince | 84 | 103 | 74 | +29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Commander Of All | 58 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Good To Great | 62 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Across The Bow | 59 | 57 | 53 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fostinovo | - | 80 | 69 | +11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Crescendo | - | 79 | 71 | +8 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points