Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 83 & below)

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Line Horse
Preemptive Strike
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    She's A Machine      2    61.5    1    0.00     7.0   82    90           88    +6
2    Isikwishikwishi      2    64.0    2    0.05     7.0   82    95           95    +13
3    Preemptive Strike    4    58.5    3    2.05     12.0  74    74           74    +0
4    Maneki Neko          2    55.5    4    2.55     7.0   65    78           78    +13
5    Kinshin Sha          4    60.0    5    3.55     12.0  75    77           77    +2
6    World Pharoah        3    60.0    6    4.35     10.5  74    80           80    +6
7    Wissa's On Fire      4    58.5    7    4.65     12.0  71    74           74    +3
8    Hippocrates          3    58.5    8    12.35    10.5  70    77           77    +7
99   Tripping Thunder     3    64.0    99   0.00     10.5  -     88           88    +0
99   Masterbling          3    60.0    99   0.00     10.5  -     80           80    +0
99   Real War             2    64.0    99   0.00     7.0   -     95           95    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 She's A Machine 82 85 88 -3 7.0 -
2 Isikwishikwishi 82 85 95 -10 7.0 -
3 Preemptive Strike Line 74 70 74 -4 12.0
4 Maneki Neko 65 60 78 -18 7.0 -
5 Kinshin Sha 75 62 77 -15 12.0 -
6 World Pharoah 74 69 80 -11 10.5 -
7 Wissa's On Fire 71 71 74 -3 12.0 -
8 Hippocrates 70 68 77 -9 10.5 -
99 Tripping Thunder - 85 88 -3 10.5 -
99 Masterbling - 74 80 -6 10.5 -
99 Real War - 73 95 -22 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points