Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: RACING240 PINNACLE STAKES (Open)
Line Horse
Quantum Theory
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quantum Theory 5 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 108 108 108 +0 2 Sheldon 6 52.0 2 1.50 0.0 102 104 104 +2 3 Mount Pinatubo 2 56.0 3 1.80 7.0 110 98 100 -10 4 Ready To Charge 2 56.0 4 4.20 7.0 110 98 100 -10 5 William Robertson 6 60.5 5 5.70 0.0 128 121 121 -7 6 Frozen Fantasy 3 52.5 6 6.00 10.5 107 84 97 -10 7 Dreamland 4 55.0 7 12.50 12.0 107 86 97 -10 99 Ziyasha 2 60.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 106 106 +0 99 Chocolate Soldier 3 56.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 91 91 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quantum Theory Line | 108 | 112 | 108 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Sheldon | 102 | 106 | 104 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mount Pinatubo | 110 | 109 | 100 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ready To Charge | 110 | 110 | 100 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | William Robertson | 128 | 124 | 121 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Frozen Fantasy | 107 | 98 | 97 | +1 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Dreamland | 107 | 103 | 97 | +6 | 12.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ziyasha | - | 118 | 106 | +12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Chocolate Soldier | - | 108 | 91 | +17 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points