Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: KEITH BASEL, DANNY LOMBARD, JOHN MCMURTRY, MARK NEL MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Spanish Boy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Goliath Heron 6 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 86 86 86 +0 2 It's About Time 3 55.0 2 0.05 3.0 90 80 80 -10 3 Spanish Boy 5 54.5 3 2.35 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Kwite A Trip 4 62.0 4 2.55 3.5 100 93 93 -7 5 Visiway 4 57.5 5 4.85 3.5 94 84 84 -10 6 Retallick 3 58.5 6 6.35 3.0 97 87 87 -10 99 Big Eyed Girl 3 54.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Constable 5 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 94 94 +0 99 Quantum King 3 60.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 91 91 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goliath Heron | 86 | 86 | 86 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | It's About Time | 90 | 86 | 80 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Spanish Boy Line | 85 | 84 | 85 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Kwite A Trip | 100 | 93 | 93 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Visiway | 94 | 83 | 84 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Retallick | 97 | 96 | 87 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Big Eyed Girl | - | 96 | 78 | +18 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Constable | - | 95 | 94 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Quantum King | - | 99 | 91 | +8 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points