Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Prom Queen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jazz Cafe 3 58.0 1 0.00 8.5 76 72 72 -4 2 Prom Queen 3 60.0 2 0.30 8.5 81 81 81 +0 3 Ubukhwebezana 4 60.0 3 3.40 6.0 80 82 82 +2 4 Gorgeous Girl 4 55.5 4 4.40 6.0 79 72 72 -7 5 Poursomesugaronme 5 57.0 5 4.55 0.0 77 87 87 +10 6 Happy Fortune 3 56.5 6 6.35 8.5 74 69 69 -5 7 School Policy 2 62.0 7 7.95 0.0 84 97 97 +13 8 Purple Flower 3 52.5 8 8.55 8.5 73 61 63 -10 9 Blowin In The Wind 3 56.5 9 9.35 8.5 74 69 69 -5 99 Avernian Goddess 3 60.5 99 0.00 8.5 - 77 77 +0 99 West Side Story 3 57.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz Cafe | 76 | 82 | 72 | +10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Prom Queen Line | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | ||
| 3 | Ubukhwebezana | 80 | 93 | 82 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Gorgeous Girl | 79 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Poursomesugaronme | 77 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Happy Fortune | 74 | 80 | 69 | +11 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | School Policy | 84 | 79 | 97 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Purple Flower | 73 | 74 | 63 | +11 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Blowin In The Wind | 74 | 63 | 69 | -6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Avernian Goddess | - | 91 | 77 | +14 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | West Side Story | - | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points