Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Sempre Bella
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Brigham 3 60.0 1 0.00 10.0 74 62 62 -12 2 Outback Express 2 56.0 2 2.75 0.0 68 77 77 +9 3 Prolific Star 3 60.0 3 5.75 10.0 67 62 62 -5 4 Sempre Bella 3 57.5 4 7.00 10.0 57 57 57 +0 5 Pick A Pomodoro 2 56.0 5 12.50 0.0 68 74 74 +6 6 Mafiabagsthemoney 5 60.0 6 19.00 0.0 35 82 82 +47 99 Global Drumbeat 3 60.0 99 0.00 10.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brigham | 74 | 74 | 62 | +12 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | Outback Express | 68 | 71 | 77 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Prolific Star | 67 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 10.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sempre Bella Line | 57 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 10.0 | ||
| 5 | Pick A Pomodoro | 68 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mafiabagsthemoney | 35 | 39 | 82 | -43 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Global Drumbeat | - | 65 | 62 | +3 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points