Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: THE ROA WISHES THE LADIES HAPPY WOMENS DAY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Flag Bearer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Storm Ahead 4 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 66 80 66 +0 2 Flag Bearer 3 55.5 2 4.60 10.0 65 65 65 +0 3 Gamer 4 59.0 3 5.60 7.0 64 78 78 +14 4 Instant Attraction 3 58.5 4 6.70 10.0 68 71 71 +3 5 Red Sparrow 3 55.5 5 6.95 10.0 59 65 65 +6 6 Pretty In Pearls 3 54.5 6 10.25 10.0 60 63 63 +3 7 Silky Jet 4 57.5 7 10.50 7.0 61 75 75 +14 99 Bob Lee Swagger 4 55.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Storm Ahead | 66 | 80 | 66 | +14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Flag Bearer Line | 65 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 10.0 | ||
| 3 | Gamer | 64 | 65 | 78 | -13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Instant Attraction | 68 | 60 | 71 | -11 | 10.0 | - | |
| 5 | Red Sparrow | 59 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 10.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pretty In Pearls | 60 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Silky Jet | 61 | 61 | 75 | -14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bob Lee Swagger | - | 53 | 71 | -18 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points