Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: AVROY SHLAIN MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Coming In Hot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Pressonregardless    4    61.5    1    0.00     6.0   87    90           87    +0
2    Stars And Bra's      2    58.5    2    2.75     0.0   82    98           98    +16
3    Coming In Hot        3    57.5    3    2.95     8.5   79    79           79    +0
4    Birthright           4    62.0    4    3.05     6.0   88    93           93    +5
5    Great Notion         3    57.5    5    3.30     8.5   80    78           78    -2
6    Phil The Fluter      2    59.0    6    5.10     0.0   83    97           97    +14
7    Bloomington          3    57.5    7    6.90     8.5   79    77           77    -2
8    Tiger Storm          3    57.5    8    7.50     8.5   80    77           77    -3
9    Willow Express       7    55.5    9    8.20     0.0   83    90           90    +7
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Pressonregardless 87 109 87 +22 6.0 -
2 Stars And Bra's 82 81 98 -17 0.0 -
3 Coming In Hot Line 79 76 79 -3 8.5
4 Birthright 88 95 93 +2 6.0 -
5 Great Notion 80 87 78 +9 8.5 -
6 Phil The Fluter 83 83 97 -14 0.0 -
7 Bloomington 79 69 77 -8 8.5 -
8 Tiger Storm 80 69 77 -8 8.5 -
9 Willow Express 83 82 90 -8 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points