Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: AVROY SHLAIN MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Coming In Hot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pressonregardless 4 61.5 1 0.00 6.0 87 90 87 +0 2 Stars And Bra's 2 58.5 2 2.75 0.0 82 98 98 +16 3 Coming In Hot 3 57.5 3 2.95 8.5 79 79 79 +0 4 Birthright 4 62.0 4 3.05 6.0 88 93 93 +5 5 Great Notion 3 57.5 5 3.30 8.5 80 78 78 -2 6 Phil The Fluter 2 59.0 6 5.10 0.0 83 97 97 +14 7 Bloomington 3 57.5 7 6.90 8.5 79 77 77 -2 8 Tiger Storm 3 57.5 8 7.50 8.5 80 77 77 -3 9 Willow Express 7 55.5 9 8.20 0.0 83 90 90 +7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pressonregardless | 87 | 109 | 87 | +22 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Stars And Bra's | 82 | 81 | 98 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Coming In Hot Line | 79 | 76 | 79 | -3 | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | Birthright | 88 | 95 | 93 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Great Notion | 80 | 87 | 78 | +9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Phil The Fluter | 83 | 83 | 97 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bloomington | 79 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Tiger Storm | 80 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Willow Express | 83 | 82 | 90 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points