Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: ARTHUR HAVERGAL, JACOB KALT, MICHAEL COETZEE FM 86 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Tinder Dry
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ululate 4 61.5 1 0.00 1.5 89 97 89 +0 2 Tinder Dry 3 53.0 2 1.40 3.5 79 79 79 +0 3 Franklin 5 56.5 3 2.90 0.0 79 92 92 +13 4 Stunning Kitten 5 52.5 4 3.40 0.0 70 83 83 +13 5 Saragon 7 61.0 5 5.40 0.0 88 99 99 +11 6 Castle Durrow 4 57.0 6 5.60 1.5 80 88 88 +8 7 Woman Of Substance 3 56.5 7 5.80 3.5 86 83 83 -3 8 Eternal Life 3 56.0 8 5.85 3.5 88 82 82 -6 9 Coral Dawn 3 52.0 9 7.45 3.5 76 74 74 -2 10 La Luvia 4 60.0 10 7.65 1.5 89 94 94 +5 11 Just Fabulous 3 56.5 11 16.15 3.5 86 83 83 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ululate | 89 | 80 | 89 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Tinder Dry Line | 79 | 66 | 79 | -13 | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Franklin | 79 | 80 | 92 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Stunning Kitten | 70 | 66 | 83 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Saragon | 88 | 86 | 99 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Castle Durrow | 80 | 71 | 88 | -17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Woman Of Substance | 86 | 62 | 83 | -21 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Eternal Life | 88 | 88 | 82 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Coral Dawn | 76 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | La Luvia | 89 | 71 | 94 | -23 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Just Fabulous | 86 | 76 | 83 | -7 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points