Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING EAST CAPE POLY CHALLENGE (Open - Leg 1 EC Poly Challenge (Non-Blk Type))
Line Horse
Usa's Hope
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mercantour 5 62.0 1 0.00 0.0 111 114 114 +3 2 Fairy Knight 4 62.0 2 0.10 12.0 118 90 108 -10 3 Golden Pavilion 2 58.0 3 0.35 7.0 89 92 92 +3 4 Usa's Hope 2 61.0 4 1.10 7.0 98 98 98 +0 5 Dubai Hills 4 59.5 5 2.10 12.0 94 85 85 -9 6 Champonelle 4 58.0 6 4.35 12.0 90 82 82 -8 7 Pas De Nom 2 59.5 7 8.85 7.0 94 95 95 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercantour | 111 | 113 | 114 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fairy Knight | 118 | 118 | 108 | +10 | 12.0 | - | |
| 3 | Golden Pavilion | 89 | 95 | 92 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Usa's Hope Line | 98 | 97 | 98 | -1 | 7.0 | ||
| 5 | Dubai Hills | 94 | 95 | 85 | +10 | 12.0 | - | |
| 6 | Champonelle | 90 | 87 | 82 | +5 | 12.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pas De Nom | 94 | 91 | 95 | -4 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points