Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Joe Harman
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Casero 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 61 54 54 -7 2 Joe Harman 4 60.0 2 0.25 1.5 58 58 58 +0 3 Silvan Park 4 60.0 3 0.35 1.5 53 65 65 +12 4 Irish Sea 3 60.0 4 3.10 3.5 60 57 57 -3 5 Star Rider 4 60.0 5 5.35 1.5 49 58 58 +9 6 Zero Rate 5 58.5 6 11.85 0.0 47 58 58 +11 7 Jumeirah Gold 4 60.0 7 13.10 1.5 49 58 58 +9 99 Jack In The Box 5 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 58 58 +0 99 War Man 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casero | 61 | 63 | 54 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Joe Harman Line | 58 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Silvan Park | 53 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Irish Sea | 60 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Star Rider | 49 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Zero Rate | 47 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jumeirah Gold | 49 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Jack In The Box | - | 53 | 58 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | War Man | - | 75 | 54 | +21 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points