Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: DEREK MICHAEL NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
Top Division
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 It's Personal 3 57.5 1 0.00 10.5 77 84 77 +0 2 The Last Duke 2 58.0 2 0.20 7.0 92 92 92 +0 3 Clairwood Rose 2 55.0 3 0.90 7.0 86 86 86 +0 4 Top Division 2 58.0 4 1.20 7.0 92 92 92 +0 5 Futurenaire 3 58.0 5 6.30 10.5 78 85 85 +7 6 Bright And Brazen 2 56.5 6 10.70 7.0 89 89 89 +0 99 Bourbon Reserve 2 60.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 96 96 +0 99 Blushing Bloom 2 53.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | It's Personal | 77 | 85 | 77 | +8 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | The Last Duke | 92 | 102 | 92 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Clairwood Rose | 86 | 77 | 86 | -9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Top Division Line | 92 | 90 | 92 | -2 | 7.0 | ||
| 5 | Futurenaire | 78 | 72 | 85 | -13 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Bright And Brazen | 89 | 97 | 89 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bourbon Reserve | - | 82 | 96 | -14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Blushing Bloom | - | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points