Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: RACING240 MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs)
Line Horse
Inclusion
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 That's Magical 3 52.0 1 0.00 10.0 50 50 50 +0 2 Inclusion 3 61.0 2 4.25 10.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Cuzzie 3 57.0 3 4.65 10.0 62 61 61 -1 4 Heroic Act 3 59.5 4 5.25 10.0 67 65 65 -2 5 Secret Warrior 2 52.5 5 10.75 0.0 70 71 71 +1 99 Euphrates 3 54.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 55 55 +0 99 Ember King 2 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | That's Magical | 50 | 54 | 50 | +4 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | Inclusion Line | 70 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 10.0 | ||
| 3 | Cuzzie | 62 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 10.0 | - | |
| 4 | Heroic Act | 67 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 10.0 | - | |
| 5 | Secret Warrior | 70 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Euphrates | - | 70 | 55 | +15 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ember King | - | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points