Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 2 SEPTEMBER FM 76 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Pretty Analia
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kiss Of Fire 5 48.5 1 0.00 0.0 61 49 61 +0 2 Boom Boom 4 60.0 2 0.60 7.0 76 63 66 -10 3 Pretty Analia 5 59.0 3 1.00 0.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Red Sparrow 3 52.5 4 1.25 10.0 59 41 49 -10 5 Annewithan E 2 60.0 5 1.55 0.0 76 75 75 -1 6 Cartagena 4 56.0 6 3.95 7.0 67 51 57 -10 7 Wagram 3 60.0 7 5.05 10.0 78 52 68 -10 8 Pretty In Pearls 3 52.0 8 5.80 10.0 58 36 48 -10 9 Lapis Lazuli 3 58.0 9 6.90 10.0 74 48 64 -10 10 Silver Flare 4 52.0 10 8.30 7.0 56 42 46 -10 11 Party Punch 3 58.5 11 15.50 10.0 78 49 68 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiss Of Fire | 61 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Boom Boom | 76 | 81 | 66 | +15 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pretty Analia Line | 74 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Red Sparrow | 59 | 55 | 49 | +6 | 10.0 | - | |
| 5 | Annewithan E | 76 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cartagena | 67 | 77 | 57 | +20 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Wagram | 78 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pretty In Pearls | 58 | 56 | 48 | +8 | 10.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lapis Lazuli | 74 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 10.0 | - | |
| 10 | Silver Flare | 56 | 64 | 46 | +18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Party Punch | 78 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points