Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: QUICKSTEPGAL & I SALUTE YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Magic Surprise
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Magic Surprise 2 58.0 1 0.00 7.0 80 80 80 +0 2 Sun In My Pocket 2 57.5 2 3.10 7.0 75 79 79 +4 3 Johnny Boy 3 58.0 3 3.15 10.5 - 73 73 +73 4 Drielandenpunt 3 58.0 4 3.35 10.5 - 73 73 +73 5 Beartic 3 60.0 5 3.40 10.5 59 77 77 +18 6 Light The Fire 2 58.0 6 3.55 7.0 - 80 80 +80 7 Coccolina 3 57.5 7 5.45 10.5 - 72 72 +72 8 Predator's Suprise 3 56.0 8 5.65 10.5 52 69 69 +17 9 Captain's Dynasty 4 60.0 9 6.25 12.0 - 74 74 +74 10 Amanzimtexas 3 58.0 10 10.15 10.5 - 73 73 +73 11 Angel Boy J 3 60.0 11 10.55 10.5 50 77 77 +27 12 Devoted 3 58.0 12 12.65 10.5 - 73 73 +73 99 Oxford Road 3 60.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic Surprise Line | 80 | 92 | 80 | +12 | 7.0 | ||
| 2 | Sun In My Pocket | 75 | 69 | 79 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Johnny Boy | - | 86 | 73 | +13 | 10.5 | - | |
| 4 | Drielandenpunt | - | 74 | 73 | +1 | 10.5 | - | |
| 5 | Beartic | 59 | 54 | 77 | -23 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Light The Fire | - | 74 | 80 | -6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coccolina | - | 67 | 72 | -5 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Predator's Suprise | 52 | 56 | 69 | -13 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Captain's Dynasty | - | 55 | 74 | -19 | 12.0 | - | |
| 10 | Amanzimtexas | - | 55 | 73 | -18 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Angel Boy J | 50 | 49 | 77 | -28 | 10.5 | - | |
| 12 | Devoted | - | 50 | 73 | -23 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Oxford Road | - | 46 | 77 | -31 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points