Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: NOVICE PLATE (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
Keen Spirit
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Assume 3 57.0 1 0.00 3.0 55 57 57 +2 2 Aneksi 4 56.0 2 0.75 3.5 53 54 54 +1 3 Keen Spirit 3 57.5 3 0.80 3.0 58 58 58 +0 4 Mustatheef 3 60.0 4 8.80 3.0 62 63 63 +1 5 Sweet Opportunity 3 55.0 5 10.05 3.0 55 53 53 -2 6 Val Gardena 5 56.5 6 15.05 0.0 48 62 62 +14 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Assume | 55 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Aneksi | 53 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Keen Spirit Line | 58 | 71 | 58 | +13 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Mustatheef | 62 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sweet Opportunity | 55 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Val Gardena | 48 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points