Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 92 and below)
Line Horse
Varnica
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 5
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 5
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 5
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Oden 6 51.5 1 0.00 0.0 75 76 76 +1 2 Emerald Floe 4 53.5 2 3.00 3.5 81 73 73 -8 3 Varnica 5 53.5 3 4.75 0.0 80 80 80 +0 4 In Good Time 5 52.0 4 7.25 0.0 74 77 77 +3 5 Armstrong 6 56.0 5 9.25 0.0 90 85 85 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oden | 75 | 88 | 76 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Emerald Floe | 81 | 82 | 73 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Varnica Line | 80 | 90 | 80 | +10 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | In Good Time | 74 | 71 | 77 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Armstrong | 90 | 89 | 85 | +4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points