Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Mar Del Plata
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Circumbendibus 3 58.5 1 0.00 10.5 77 73 73 -4 2 Mar Del Plata 2 58.0 2 1.30 7.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Real War 2 60.5 3 1.55 7.0 81 84 84 +3 4 Tripping Thunder 3 61.0 4 1.80 10.5 82 78 78 -4 5 Exocet 2 57.0 5 2.40 7.0 88 77 78 -10 6 Now I Got You 5 53.0 6 3.40 0.0 74 83 83 +9 7 Chocolate Bomb 2 58.0 7 3.65 7.0 76 79 79 +3 8 Hope Is Power 3 57.5 8 5.25 10.5 83 71 73 -10 9 Cardinal Chief 2 56.0 9 5.65 7.0 86 75 76 -10 10 Apex Predator 4 57.5 10 5.95 12.0 75 68 68 -7 11 Dont Judge 2 58.5 11 6.05 7.0 77 80 80 +3 12 Chinaberry 3 58.5 12 6.45 10.5 77 73 73 -4 13 Global Impact 2 55.0 13 8.75 7.0 75 73 73 -2 99 Chapbook 2 56.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Circumbendibus | 77 | 97 | 73 | +24 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Mar Del Plata Line | 79 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Real War | 81 | 73 | 84 | -11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Tripping Thunder | 82 | 85 | 78 | +7 | 10.5 | - | |
| 5 | Exocet | 88 | 94 | 78 | +16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Now I Got You | 74 | 67 | 83 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Chocolate Bomb | 76 | 82 | 79 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Hope Is Power | 83 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Cardinal Chief | 86 | 86 | 76 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Apex Predator | 75 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 12.0 | - | |
| 11 | Dont Judge | 77 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Chinaberry | 77 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 10.5 | - | |
| 13 | Global Impact | 75 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Chapbook | - | 106 | 75 | +31 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points