Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: NHLANHLA NDLOVU / MARK SCHULTZ (30 Years) B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 101 & below)
Line Horse
Quandary
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Convocation 5 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 90 84 84 -6 2 Soho Star 3 57.5 2 0.50 3.5 96 80 86 -10 3 Apex Predator 4 51.0 3 1.90 4.0 75 66 66 -9 4 Quandary 5 58.5 4 1.95 0.0 89 89 89 +0 5 Licence To Thrill 4 61.5 5 2.05 4.0 94 87 87 -7 6 Mojo Man 4 58.5 6 3.65 4.0 90 81 81 -9 99 Rainbow Reward 5 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 86 86 +0 99 Icy Blast 4 57.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Convocation | 90 | 94 | 84 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Soho Star | 96 | 105 | 86 | +19 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Apex Predator | 75 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Quandary Line | 89 | 88 | 89 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Licence To Thrill | 94 | 98 | 87 | +11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mojo Man | 90 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rainbow Reward | - | 89 | 86 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Icy Blast | - | 88 | 78 | +10 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points