Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 5 SEPTEMBER MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Silvery Surfer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Masked Vigilante 3 57.0 1 0.00 9.5 79 74 79 +0 2 Travel Master 4 57.5 2 1.00 11.0 75 72 72 -3 3 Sweet And True 3 58.5 3 1.75 9.5 76 77 77 +1 4 Silvery Surfer 3 57.0 4 1.80 9.5 74 74 74 +0 5 Tokyo Medaglia 3 57.0 5 3.55 9.5 74 74 74 +0 6 Exquisite 3 60.5 6 3.80 9.5 81 81 81 +0 7 James Fitzjames 2 57.0 7 6.30 6.5 74 80 80 +6 8 Igugulethu 2 60.5 8 7.05 6.5 81 87 87 +6 9 Whatever Next 6 61.0 9 10.05 0.0 82 101 101 +19 10 American Dream 3 61.0 10 13.30 9.5 82 82 82 +0 11 Vegas Hi Rise 6 57.0 11 14.80 0.0 74 93 93 +19 99 Big Boy Bruce 2 58.5 99 0.00 6.5 - 83 83 +0 99 Basingstoke 2 55.5 99 0.00 6.5 - 77 77 +0 99 Romance In Rome 2 58.5 99 0.00 6.5 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masked Vigilante | 79 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Travel Master | 75 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 11.0 | - | |
| 3 | Sweet And True | 76 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 9.5 | - | |
| 4 | Silvery Surfer Line | 74 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 9.5 | ||
| 5 | Tokyo Medaglia | 74 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Exquisite | 81 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | James Fitzjames | 74 | 66 | 80 | -14 | 6.5 | - | |
| 8 | Igugulethu | 81 | 83 | 87 | -4 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Whatever Next | 82 | 73 | 101 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | American Dream | 82 | 81 | 82 | -1 | 9.5 | - | |
| 11 | Vegas Hi Rise | 74 | 71 | 93 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Big Boy Bruce | - | 76 | 83 | -7 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Basingstoke | - | 72 | 77 | -5 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Romance In Rome | - | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points