Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: RACING TODAY MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Fully Loaded
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Master Christmas 4 59.5 1 0.00 5.0 93 72 93 +0 2 Soho Heartthrob 2 54.0 2 0.10 0.0 90 71 80 -10 3 Fully Loaded 5 59.5 3 1.90 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Sutherland 4 56.5 4 1.95 5.0 79 69 69 -10 5 Open Highway 4 59.0 5 3.45 5.0 84 72 74 -10 6 Union Rose 3 56.0 6 3.85 8.0 79 60 69 -10 7 Coming In Hot 3 56.5 7 7.85 8.0 79 60 69 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Master Christmas | 93 | 94 | 93 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Soho Heartthrob | 90 | 91 | 80 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fully Loaded Line | 85 | 94 | 85 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Sutherland | 79 | 85 | 69 | +16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Open Highway | 84 | 94 | 74 | +20 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Union Rose | 79 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coming In Hot | 79 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points