Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Futurewolff
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Robert Browning 3 55.0 1 0.00 9.5 70 48 70 +0 2 Santiago's Pride 3 58.5 2 2.20 9.5 77 58 67 -10 3 Futurewolff 5 59.0 3 3.30 0.0 76 76 76 +0 4 Unsolved Riddle 3 61.0 4 3.60 9.5 80 61 70 -10 5 Zip Code 3 62.0 5 5.80 9.5 84 62 74 -10 6 Chabal 3 57.5 6 6.00 9.5 75 53 65 -10 7 Strewn Sky 2 61.0 7 6.60 0.0 80 79 79 -1 99 War Reporter 3 57.5 99 0.00 9.5 - 53 53 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Browning | 70 | 87 | 70 | +17 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Santiago's Pride | 77 | 76 | 67 | +9 | 9.5 | - | |
| 3 | Futurewolff Line | 76 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Unsolved Riddle | 80 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Zip Code | 84 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Chabal | 75 | 73 | 65 | +8 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Strewn Sky | 80 | 69 | 79 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | War Reporter | - | 72 | 53 | +19 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points