Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 04 SEPTEMBER MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 105 and below)
Line Horse
Vesuvio
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Royal Edition 4 54.0 1 0.00 6.0 88 71 71 -17 2 Vesuvio 5 54.0 2 0.90 0.0 89 89 89 +0 3 Hawkbill 4 58.0 3 1.60 6.0 95 84 85 -10 4 Mount Darwin 3 54.0 4 3.00 9.5 89 67 79 -10 5 Street Art 3 54.0 5 4.25 9.5 87 66 77 -10 6 Eiger Sanction 3 50.0 6 4.45 9.5 81 57 71 -10 7 Teo Torriatte 4 54.0 7 6.05 6.0 90 71 80 -10 8 King's Express 3 60.0 8 6.55 9.5 100 76 90 -10 9 Silent War 3 58.0 9 7.35 9.5 95 72 85 -10 10 Arumugam 6 54.0 10 8.75 0.0 87 83 83 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Edition | 88 | 92 | 71 | +21 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Vesuvio Line | 89 | 85 | 89 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Hawkbill | 95 | 100 | 85 | +15 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mount Darwin | 89 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Street Art | 87 | 78 | 77 | +1 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Eiger Sanction | 81 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Teo Torriatte | 90 | 94 | 80 | +14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | King's Express | 100 | 102 | 90 | +12 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Silent War | 95 | 91 | 85 | +6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Arumugam | 87 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points