Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Dapper
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Golden Rule 3 56.0 1 0.00 8.0 73 56 56 -17 2 Lucky Dollar 2 60.5 2 2.30 0.0 81 83 83 +2 3 Dapper 2 59.0 3 3.35 0.0 79 79 79 +0 4 Kimball O'Hara 2 55.0 4 3.60 0.0 70 71 71 +1 5 Ibhele 3 56.0 5 4.10 8.0 73 57 63 -10 6 Voldemort 6 57.5 6 4.40 0.0 83 75 75 -8 7 Eventidor 6 59.5 7 4.55 0.0 79 79 79 +0 8 Sweeper Keeper 4 53.5 8 5.25 5.0 70 57 60 -10 9 The Gliding Fish 6 57.0 9 6.35 0.0 74 74 74 +0 10 Polar Light 2 56.0 10 6.55 0.0 93 72 83 -10 11 Knight Warrior 5 59.0 11 8.45 0.0 78 78 78 +0 12 Got The Word 2 54.0 12 11.45 0.0 69 68 68 -1 13 I Am Classy 3 56.0 13 14.85 8.0 73 56 63 -10 99 Super Fast 5 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Golden Rule | 73 | 99 | 56 | +43 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lucky Dollar | 81 | 85 | 83 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dapper Line | 79 | 72 | 79 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Kimball O'Hara | 70 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ibhele | 73 | 70 | 63 | +7 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Voldemort | 83 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Eventidor | 79 | 89 | 79 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sweeper Keeper | 70 | 67 | 60 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | The Gliding Fish | 74 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Polar Light | 93 | 75 | 83 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Knight Warrior | 78 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Got The Word | 69 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | I Am Classy | 73 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Super Fast | - | 83 | 73 | +10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points