Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: GARY MANN ESTATES MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Midnight Flyer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Alpha World 2 60.0 1 0.00 6.5 80 6 6 -74 2 Midnight Flyer 3 60.0 2 1.80 9.5 - - - +0 3 Stone Of Scone 2 57.5 3 2.80 6.5 79 1 69 -10 4 Boom Town 3 60.0 4 3.90 9.5 - - - +0 5 Nebraska 3 60.0 5 6.40 9.5 - - - +0 6 Himitsu 3 60.0 6 16.15 9.5 - - - +0 99 Actuary 3 60.0 99 0.00 9.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alpha World | 80 | 87 | 6 | +81 | 6.5 | - | |
| 2 | Midnight Flyer Line | - | 85 | - | +85 | 9.5 | ||
| 3 | Stone Of Scone | 79 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 4 | Boom Town | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Nebraska | - | 72 | - | +72 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Himitsu | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Actuary | - | 76 | - | - | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points