Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Rare Earth
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Beautiful Side 3 56.5 1 0.00 9.5 67 62 62 -5 2 Rare Earth 3 58.0 2 2.25 9.5 70 70 70 +0 3 Fort Impreza 3 56.5 3 4.75 9.5 62 62 62 +0 4 Conditionally 2 53.0 4 5.25 0.0 70 74 74 +4 5 Gimme The Best 2 53.5 5 6.75 0.0 52 75 75 +23 6 Greenlight Jet 3 53.5 6 6.95 9.5 48 56 56 +8 7 Signor Dante 3 61.5 7 9.45 9.5 72 72 72 +0 8 Tori's Girl 3 53.0 8 11.70 9.5 56 55 55 -1 9 Ice Spear 2 52.0 9 13.95 0.0 66 72 72 +6 10 Marine Merchant 3 58.5 10 14.25 9.5 66 66 66 +0 99 Naretoi 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beautiful Side | 67 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Rare Earth Line | 70 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 9.5 | ||
| 3 | Fort Impreza | 62 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 4 | Conditionally | 70 | 65 | 74 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gimme The Best | 52 | 51 | 75 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Greenlight Jet | 48 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Signor Dante | 72 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Tori's Girl | 56 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Ice Spear | 66 | 64 | 72 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Marine Merchant | 66 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Naretoi | - | 73 | 85 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points