Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY GRADUATION PLATE (Maidens,1 & 2 time winners)
Line Horse
Guy Gibson
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Africa House 4 59.0 1 0.00 5.0 88 88 70 -18 2 Guy Gibson 2 60.0 2 0.10 0.0 100 100 100 +0 3 Ready 2 57.0 3 1.35 0.0 95 97 97 +2 4 Donny Tee 4 60.0 4 4.60 5.0 78 90 90 +12 5 Global State 2 56.0 5 4.65 0.0 84 92 92 +8 6 Das Gute 4 57.0 6 5.15 5.0 72 84 84 +12 7 Coral Creek 3 60.0 7 12.90 8.0 79 84 84 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Africa House | 88 | 93 | 70 | +23 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Guy Gibson Line | 100 | 99 | 100 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Ready | 95 | 95 | 97 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Donny Tee | 78 | 68 | 90 | -22 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Global State | 84 | 88 | 92 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Das Gute | 72 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coral Creek | 79 | 73 | 84 | -11 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points