Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TOTE FOR THE WIN OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Maiden Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Saudi Sweep
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 On Song 2 54.0 1 0.00 6.5 70 63 63 -7 2 Champagne Problems 2 58.0 2 0.40 6.5 65 71 71 +6 3 Saudi Sweep 3 59.5 3 1.30 9.5 68 68 68 +0 4 Chimes At Midnight 3 55.0 4 6.30 9.5 62 59 59 -3 5 Cosmic Orbit 3 56.0 5 8.50 9.5 - 61 61 +61 6 Peggy Sue Shake 3 60.0 6 11.30 9.5 - 69 69 +69 7 Chicago Lass 6 55.0 7 13.40 0.0 52 78 78 +26 8 Praise De La Rey 2 60.0 8 13.45 6.5 - 75 75 +75 9 Third Winter 2 56.0 9 14.55 6.5 - 67 67 +67 99 Cinnamon Coffee 2 56.0 99 0.00 6.5 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | On Song | 70 | 74 | 63 | +11 | 6.5 | - | |
| 2 | Champagne Problems | 65 | 68 | 71 | -3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 3 | Saudi Sweep Line | 68 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 9.5 | ||
| 4 | Chimes At Midnight (ZIM) | 62 | 60 | 59 | +1 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Cosmic Orbit | - | 65 | 61 | +4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Peggy Sue Shake | - | 76 | 69 | +7 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Chicago Lass | 52 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Praise De La Rey | - | 66 | 75 | -9 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Third Winter | - | 60 | 67 | -7 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Cinnamon Coffee | - | - | 67 | -67 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points