Official NHA Assessment

Race 1: Hollywoodbets DURBANVILLE WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Lyrical Gangster
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Lyrical Gangster     2    58.0    1    0.00     6.5   80    80           80    +0
2    Sicily               2    60.0    2    2.25     6.5   64    84           84    +20
3    Caribbean Gold       3    55.5    3    2.30     9.5   -     69           69    +69
4    One Cape             2    58.0    4    4.55     6.5   -     80           80    +80
5    Theshowmustgoon      3    58.0    5    4.75     9.5   -     74           74    +74
6    Royal Desire         3    55.5    6    7.50     9.5   -     69           69    +69
7    Missouri Flame       3    51.5    7    7.80     9.5   -     61           61    +61
8    Stormin Attack       3    55.5    8    11.80    9.5   -     69           69    +69
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Lyrical Gangster Line 80 81 80 +1 6.5
2 Sicily 64 62 84 -22 6.5 -
3 Caribbean Gold - 82 69 +13 9.5 -
4 One Cape - 72 80 -8 6.5 -
5 Theshowmustgoon - 74 74 ✓ Match 9.5 -
6 Royal Desire - 52 69 -17 9.5 -
7 Missouri Flame - 65 61 +4 9.5 -
8 Stormin Attack - 46 69 -23 9.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points