Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACE COAST INCENTIVES POWERED BY Hollywoodbets CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Baton Rouge
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Future Free 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 82 73 73 -9 2 Baton Rouge 4 63.0 2 2.50 6.0 72 72 72 +0 3 The Night Ferry 3 59.5 3 3.25 9.5 65 58 58 -7 4 Cosmic Rhythm 2 58.0 4 4.00 0.0 62 73 73 +11 5 Gnarly 2 58.5 5 4.50 0.0 65 73 73 +8 6 State Capitol 4 56.0 6 12.00 6.0 58 56 56 -2 7 Miss Mackie 3 52.0 7 14.75 9.5 52 41 42 -10 99 My Bestie 7 63.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Future Free | 82 | 89 | 73 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Baton Rouge Line | 72 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | The Night Ferry | 65 | 62 | 58 | +4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 4 | Cosmic Rhythm | 62 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gnarly | 65 | 55 | 73 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | State Capitol | 58 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Miss Mackie | 52 | 49 | 42 | +7 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | My Bestie | - | 61 | 82 | -21 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points