Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 96)
Line Horse
Kalahari Roller
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Icy Blast 4 55.0 1 0.00 11.0 86 91 91 +5 2 Gorgeous Guy 2 52.0 2 0.05 6.5 83 94 94 +11 3 Kalahari Roller 3 53.0 3 1.25 9.5 90 90 90 +0 4 Top Gun 3 49.5 4 1.65 9.5 75 83 83 +8 5 Soho Star 3 60.5 5 2.05 9.5 102 105 105 +3 6 Queue Wing 7 54.5 6 2.30 0.0 85 112 112 +27 7 Elizabedi Gold 3 53.0 7 2.35 9.5 82 90 90 +8 8 Master Josh 2 59.0 8 3.15 6.5 94 108 108 +14 9 Military Command 2 58.5 9 7.85 6.5 106 107 107 +1 99 Mexican Pete 3 54.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 92 92 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Icy Blast | 86 | 88 | 91 | -3 | 11.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gorgeous Guy | 83 | 81 | 94 | -13 | 6.5 | - | |
| 3 | Kalahari Roller Line | 90 | 86 | 90 | -4 | 9.5 | ||
| 4 | Top Gun | 75 | 71 | 83 | -12 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Soho Star | 102 | 105 | 105 | ✓ Match | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Queue Wing | 85 | 81 | 112 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Elizabedi Gold | 82 | 78 | 90 | -12 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Master Josh | 94 | 97 | 108 | -11 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Military Command | 106 | 85 | 107 | -22 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Mexican Pete | - | 84 | 92 | -8 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points