Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 25 SEPTEMBER FM 78 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Blindfire
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Malibu 2 59.0 1 0.00 6.5 89 97 89 +0 2 Blindfire 2 49.5 2 1.00 6.5 78 78 78 +0 3 Micke's Bomb 4 52.0 3 1.40 11.0 62 74 74 +12 4 Versace Onthetrack 2 60.0 4 1.80 6.5 91 99 99 +8 5 Whirlybird 2 58.5 5 2.30 6.5 75 96 96 +21 6 Misty Metal 3 55.5 6 4.90 9.5 69 84 84 +15 7 Maverick Queen 3 56.5 7 6.50 9.5 71 86 86 +15 8 Far Reaching 2 59.0 8 6.60 6.5 76 97 97 +21 9 Dixieland Band 2 59.0 9 6.85 6.5 76 97 97 +21 10 Red Hot Kisses 2 56.0 10 7.60 6.5 83 91 91 +8 11 Red Amber 2 56.5 11 8.30 6.5 84 92 92 +8 12 Kylie's Angel 3 52.0 12 13.50 9.5 55 77 77 +22 99 Waitforgreenlight 2 54.5 99 0.00 6.5 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malibu | 89 | 92 | 89 | +3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 2 | Blindfire Line | 78 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 6.5 | ||
| 3 | Micke's Bomb | 62 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 11.0 | - | |
| 4 | Versace Onthetrack | 91 | 88 | 99 | -11 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Whirlybird | 75 | 73 | 96 | -23 | 6.5 | - | |
| 6 | Misty Metal | 69 | 71 | 84 | -13 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Maverick Queen | 71 | 76 | 86 | -10 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Far Reaching | 76 | 63 | 97 | -34 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Dixieland Band | 76 | 72 | 97 | -25 | 6.5 | - | |
| 10 | Red Hot Kisses | 83 | 62 | 91 | -29 | 6.5 | - | |
| 11 | Red Amber | 84 | 71 | 92 | -21 | 6.5 | - | |
| 12 | Kylie's Angel | 55 | 60 | 77 | -17 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Waitforgreenlight | - | 67 | 88 | -21 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points