Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: VANGUARD MARINE & LEISURE MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Eiger Sanction
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Titans Of War 2 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 84 79 84 +0 2 Eiger Sanction 3 58.5 2 0.90 9.5 79 79 79 +0 3 American Rebel 4 59.5 3 1.00 6.0 84 88 88 +4 4 Street Art 3 61.5 4 3.50 9.5 85 82 82 -3 5 Gimmeachoice 3 60.5 5 5.75 9.5 83 77 77 -6 6 Sky Pillar Rock 3 56.5 6 5.95 9.5 77 69 69 -8 7 Eiffel Tower 4 58.0 7 6.95 6.0 78 79 79 +1 8 Blurred Vision 3 52.0 8 7.05 9.5 68 60 60 -8 9 Robert Browning 3 55.5 9 8.05 9.5 75 67 67 -8 10 Strewn Sky 2 57.5 10 10.65 0.0 77 90 90 +13 11 Diesel's Shadow 4 58.5 11 20.75 6.0 79 80 80 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans Of War | 84 | 91 | 84 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Eiger Sanction Line | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 9.5 | ||
| 3 | American Rebel | 84 | 81 | 88 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Street Art | 85 | 78 | 82 | -4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Gimmeachoice | 83 | 87 | 77 | +10 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Sky Pillar Rock | 77 | 81 | 69 | +12 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Eiffel Tower | 78 | 69 | 79 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blurred Vision | 68 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Robert Browning | 75 | 87 | 67 | +20 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Strewn Sky | 77 | 69 | 90 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Diesel's Shadow | 79 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points