Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: ARROW GRADUATION PLATE (For Maidens, 1 & 2 Time Winners)
Line Horse
Bjorn Ironside
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bjorn Ironside 2 57.0 1 0.00 6.5 108 108 108 +0 2 Pennsylvania 3 60.0 2 0.50 9.5 92 108 108 +16 3 Poblano 3 54.0 3 4.00 9.5 101 96 96 -5 4 Mystical Miss 2 52.5 4 5.00 6.5 96 99 99 +3 5 Antonio Gaudi 2 56.5 5 7.75 6.5 77 107 107 +30 6 Bakwena 3 54.0 6 8.00 9.5 95 96 96 +1 7 Red Legend 2 54.5 7 16.00 6.5 81 103 103 +22 99 Hemisphere 3 60.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 108 108 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bjorn Ironside Line | 108 | 105 | 108 | -3 | 6.5 | ||
| 2 | Pennsylvania | 92 | 94 | 108 | -14 | 9.5 | - | |
| 3 | Poblano | 101 | 100 | 96 | +4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 4 | Mystical Miss | 96 | 83 | 99 | -16 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Antonio Gaudi | 77 | 82 | 107 | -25 | 6.5 | - | |
| 6 | Bakwena | 95 | 97 | 96 | +1 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Red Legend | 81 | 81 | 103 | -22 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Hemisphere | - | 83 | 108 | -25 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points