Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 26 SEPTEMBER MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Take Your Time
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 San Quintin 6 53.5 1 0.00 0.0 55 79 55 +0 2 Olive Oyl 2 55.5 2 0.25 0.0 78 83 83 +5 3 Take Your Time 3 51.0 3 1.50 9.5 60 60 60 +0 4 Arividicio 5 53.5 4 1.60 0.0 55 84 84 +29 5 Preserve Forever 3 54.0 5 3.60 9.5 58 64 64 +6 6 Garden Sun 3 61.0 6 9.10 9.5 72 75 75 +3 7 Catch The Tune 6 59.0 7 10.35 0.0 74 90 90 +16 8 Cosmic Cliffs 3 56.5 8 99.99 9.5 68 66 66 -2 99 Spoil Yourself 2 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 90 90 +0 99 Richardthefearless 3 57.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 67 67 +0 99 Pardon Me 5 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Quintin | 55 | 58 | 55 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Olive Oyl | 78 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Take Your Time Line | 60 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 9.5 | ||
| 4 | Arividicio | 55 | 50 | 84 | -34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Preserve Forever | 58 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Garden Sun | 72 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Catch The Tune | 74 | 70 | 90 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cosmic Cliffs | 68 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Spoil Yourself | - | 73 | 90 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Richardthefearless | - | 83 | 67 | +16 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Pardon Me | - | 53 | 88 | -35 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points