Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING EAST CAPE POLY CHALLENGE (Open - 2nd Leg (Non-Blk Type))
Line Horse
Usa's Hope
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mercantour 5 62.0 1 0.00 0.0 111 96 96 -15 2 Guy Gibson 2 61.0 2 0.75 0.0 100 98 98 -2 3 Eyjafjallajokull 2 58.0 3 1.25 0.0 88 92 92 +4 3 Usa's Hope 2 61.0 3 1.25 0.0 98 98 98 +0 5 Golden Link 3 61.0 5 2.00 8.0 101 81 91 -10 6 Champonelle 4 58.0 6 3.25 5.0 90 80 80 -10 7 The Africa House 4 59.5 7 5.50 5.0 94 81 84 -10 8 Yamadori 4 61.0 8 5.75 5.0 101 84 91 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercantour | 111 | 113 | 96 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Guy Gibson | 100 | 99 | 98 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Eyjafjallajokull | 88 | 86 | 92 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Usa's Hope Line | 98 | 97 | 98 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Golden Link | 101 | 99 | 91 | +8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Champonelle | 90 | 87 | 80 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Africa House | 94 | 93 | 84 | +9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Yamadori | 101 | 97 | 91 | +6 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points