Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Tonightsfightnight
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Mr Gonzales          4    59.0    1    0.00     1.0   82    78           82    +0
2    Desolate Road        6    58.0    2    1.00     0.0   85    82           82    -3
3    Tonightsfightnight   5    59.0    3    2.70     0.0   82    82           82    +0
4    Mr Pigalle           4    56.0    4    2.75     1.0   76    74           74    -2
5    Full Blast           4    61.5    5    4.35     1.0   87    83           83    -4
6    Ibutho               7    54.5    6    4.75     0.0   81    71           71    -10
6    Spring High          4    59.5    6    4.75     1.0   83    79           79    -4
8    Double Espresso      5    54.5    8    6.45     0.0   72    71           71    -1
9    Born To Perform      7    61.5    9    9.15     0.0   87    85           85    -2
99   Antigonus            6    57.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     76           76    +0
99   Al's My Daddy        5    59.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     81           81    +0
99   Love The View        4    59.5    99   0.00     1.0   -     79           79    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mr Gonzales 82 97 82 +15 1.0 -
2 Desolate Road 85 82 82 ✓ Match 0.0 -
3 Tonightsfightnight Line 82 80 82 -2 0.0
4 Mr Pigalle 76 68 74 -6 1.0 -
5 Full Blast 87 86 83 +3 1.0 -
6 Ibutho 81 83 71 +12 0.0 -
6 Spring High 83 79 79 ✓ Match 1.0 -
8 Double Espresso 72 60 71 -11 0.0 -
9 Born To Perform 87 84 85 -1 0.0 -
99 Antigonus - 81 76 +5 0.0 -
99 Al's My Daddy - 70 81 -11 0.0 -
99 Love The View - 82 79 +3 1.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points