Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 96)

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Line Horse
The Shepherd
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Imposing             2    55.0    1    0.00     0.0   86    99           92    +6
2    Amor Fati            2    54.5    2    0.15     0.0   86    98           98    +12
3    Plaza Accord         2    54.5    3    0.20     0.0   85    98           98    +13
4    The Shepherd         3    61.0    4    1.50     8.0   98    98           98    +0
5    Wiccan Warrior       2    57.0    5    2.00     0.0   90    106          106   +16
6    Rosh Kedesh          5    58.5    6    2.05     0.0   93    109          109   +16
7    Queue Wing           7    50.5    7    2.45     0.0   85    92           92    +7
8    Stars In Heaven      2    55.5    8    2.85     0.0   87    102          102   +15
9    Voldemort            6    52.0    9    5.25     0.0   83    93           93    +10
10   Nelson Bay           4    56.0    10   6.95     5.0   88    91           91    +3
11   Sundance Kid         5    57.5    11   8.15     0.0   91    104          104   +13
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Imposing 86 107 92 +15 0.0 -
2 Amor Fati 86 92 98 -6 0.0 -
3 Plaza Accord 85 84 98 -14 0.0 -
4 The Shepherd Line 98 97 98 -1 8.0
5 Wiccan Warrior 90 80 106 -26 0.0 -
6 Rosh Kedesh 93 88 109 -21 0.0 -
7 Queue Wing 85 81 92 -11 0.0 -
8 Stars In Heaven 87 87 102 -15 0.0 -
9 Voldemort 83 81 93 -12 0.0 -
10 Nelson Bay 88 90 91 -1 5.0 -
11 Sundance Kid 91 96 104 -8 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points