Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 2 OCTOBER FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Sunshine Day
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mamlambo             2    56.0    1    0.00     0.0   86    80           86    +0
2    Princess Ilaria      5    58.0    2    1.50     0.0   82    87           87    +5
3    Sunshine Day         4    55.5    3    6.50     5.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Boom Boom            4    59.5    4    6.70     5.0   77    77           77    +0
5    Far Reaching         2    58.5    5    7.10     0.0   76    85           85    +9
6    Royal Horizon        3    55.5    6    8.40     8.0   69    63           63    -6
7    Spirited Girl        4    55.5    7    8.60     5.0   72    69           69    -3
8    Can't Catch Me       5    52.0    8    9.60     0.0   59    72           72    +13
9    Littlemisssplendid   2    56.5    9    9.85     0.0   87    81           81    -6
10   Together Again       5    52.0    10   10.10    0.0   53    72           72    +19
11   Red Amber            2    55.0    11   11.50    0.0   84    78           78    -6
12   Count Your Chances   5    52.0    12   11.80    0.0   55    72           72    +17
13   The Mightiest        3    57.5    13   14.30    8.0   74    67           67    -7
99   Wise Counsel         2    56.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     80           80    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mamlambo 86 91 86 +5 0.0 -
2 Princess Ilaria 82 79 87 -8 0.0 -
3 Sunshine Day Line 69 69 69 ✓ Match 5.0
4 Boom Boom 77 81 77 +4 5.0 -
5 Far Reaching 76 63 85 -22 0.0 -
6 Royal Horizon 69 68 63 +5 8.0 -
7 Spirited Girl 72 61 69 -8 5.0 -
8 Can't Catch Me 59 58 72 -14 0.0 -
9 Littlemisssplendid 87 84 81 +3 0.0 -
10 Together Again 53 55 72 -17 0.0 -
11 Red Amber 84 71 78 -7 0.0 -
12 Count Your Chances 55 51 72 -21 0.0 -
13 The Mightiest 74 70 67 +3 8.0 -
99 Wise Counsel - 86 80 +6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points