Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 3 OCTOBER MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Silvonian
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Royal Kingdom 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 86 84 86 +0 2 Silvonian 3 59.5 2 1.75 7.0 76 76 76 +0 3 Palancar 3 59.0 3 3.00 7.0 75 74 74 -1 4 Das Gute 4 58.5 4 3.50 4.5 72 77 77 +5 5 Charlie Malone 5 58.5 5 4.75 0.0 73 85 85 +12 6 Silver Tycoon 7 57.5 6 6.50 0.0 76 83 83 +7 7 Hospices De Beaune 3 52.5 7 7.75 7.0 70 59 60 -10 8 Bright Future 3 54.0 8 11.00 7.0 65 62 62 -3 9 Lt Alexander 2 59.0 9 13.50 0.0 74 86 86 +12 10 American Dream 3 63.0 10 14.00 7.0 82 80 80 -2 11 Chief Runner 3 56.0 11 19.25 7.0 69 66 66 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Kingdom | 86 | 103 | 86 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Silvonian Line | 76 | 86 | 76 | +10 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Palancar | 75 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Das Gute | 72 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Charlie Malone | 73 | 71 | 85 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Silver Tycoon | 76 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hospices De Beaune | 70 | 68 | 60 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bright Future | 65 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lt Alexander | 74 | 72 | 86 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | American Dream | 82 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Chief Runner | 69 | 59 | 66 | -7 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points