Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Capsaicin
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rollo The Viking 3 51.5 1 0.00 8.0 85 70 70 -15 2 Mocha Blend 3 58.0 2 0.30 8.0 104 88 94 -10 3 Etiquette 3 55.5 3 2.70 8.0 85 80 80 -5 4 Capsaicin 4 58.5 4 3.70 5.0 91 91 91 +0 5 The Shepherd 3 60.0 5 3.75 8.0 98 88 88 -10 6 Tirpitz 6 55.5 6 4.45 0.0 86 94 94 +8 7 Ingqwele 3 54.5 7 6.95 8.0 82 76 76 -6 8 Dawn Till Dusk 2 58.5 8 8.55 0.0 95 100 100 +5 9 Afropolitan 6 51.5 9 12.15 0.0 84 86 86 +2 10 Sequoia 6 59.0 10 16.75 0.0 99 101 101 +2 99 Officer In Command 4 57.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 87 87 +0 99 Sign Of Fate 4 51.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rollo The Viking | 85 | 96 | 70 | +26 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mocha Blend | 104 | 117 | 94 | +23 | 8.0 | - | |
| 3 | Etiquette | 85 | 83 | 80 | +3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Capsaicin Line | 91 | 88 | 91 | -3 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | The Shepherd | 98 | 97 | 88 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tirpitz | 86 | 82 | 94 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ingqwele | 82 | 84 | 76 | +8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Dawn Till Dusk | 95 | 94 | 100 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Afropolitan | 84 | 84 | 86 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sequoia | 99 | 99 | 101 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Officer In Command | - | 86 | 87 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sign Of Fate | - | 74 | 76 | -2 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points