Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: ALAN GRAY (35 Years) CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Agrado
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tirpitz 6 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 80 90 86 +6 2 Burning Man 3 56.5 2 2.30 2.5 82 80 80 -2 3 Agrado 3 56.5 3 3.80 2.5 79 79 79 +0 4 King's Island 4 59.5 4 3.85 1.5 79 87 87 +8 5 Ralph The Rascal 8 58.0 5 4.15 0.0 76 87 87 +11 6 Gimmethegoodlife 3 58.0 6 4.65 2.5 82 81 81 -1 7 Winter Waves 7 59.5 7 5.35 0.0 79 89 89 +10 8 Ultra Quick 6 56.0 8 6.35 0.0 72 82 82 +10 9 Lord Wylie 7 56.0 9 7.05 0.0 72 82 82 +10 10 Sweeper Keeper 4 55.5 10 10.55 1.5 71 78 78 +7 11 Barry Du Grond 3 54.0 11 28.55 2.5 79 73 73 -6 12 Fish Eagle 5 52.5 12 45.15 0.0 73 75 75 +2 99 The Gliding Fish 6 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 99 Magma Magic 4 58.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 84 84 +0 99 River Dance 3 55.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 76 76 +0 99 Voldemort 6 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 92 92 +0 99 Festival Of Magic 4 55.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tirpitz | 80 | 82 | 86 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Burning Man | 82 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Agrado Line | 79 | 85 | 79 | +6 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | King's Island | 79 | 72 | 87 | -15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Ralph The Rascal | 76 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gimmethegoodlife | 82 | 96 | 81 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Winter Waves | 79 | 77 | 89 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ultra Quick | 72 | 71 | 82 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lord Wylie | 72 | 69 | 82 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sweeper Keeper | 71 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Barry Du Grond | 79 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Fish Eagle | 73 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | The Gliding Fish | - | 68 | 82 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Magma Magic | - | 81 | 84 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | River Dance | - | 68 | 76 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Voldemort | - | 81 | 92 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Festival Of Magic | - | 67 | 77 | -10 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points