Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: KEYONVARO MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Juniper Green
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 It's Personal 3 61.0 1 0.00 8.5 82 93 82 +0 2 Hemisphere 3 60.5 2 0.05 8.5 81 92 92 +11 3 Juniper Green 4 54.5 3 1.30 10.0 77 77 77 +0 4 Red Penny 2 57.5 4 3.30 5.5 89 92 92 +3 5 Palace Revolt 2 59.0 5 3.80 5.5 78 95 95 +17 6 Super Awesome 4 60.0 6 7.40 10.0 80 88 88 +8 7 Coming In Hot 3 59.5 7 8.20 8.5 79 90 90 +11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | It's Personal | 82 | 85 | 82 | +3 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Hemisphere | 81 | 83 | 92 | -9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Juniper Green Line | 77 | 87 | 77 | +10 | 10.0 | ||
| 4 | Red Penny | 89 | 85 | 92 | -7 | 5.5 | - | |
| 5 | Palace Revolt | 78 | 64 | 95 | -31 | 5.5 | - | |
| 6 | Super Awesome | 80 | 79 | 88 | -9 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coming In Hot | 79 | 76 | 90 | -14 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points